MLB Betting Tips for Monday (8/26/19)

Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies

St Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies

Time: 3:05 p.m. EST

Starting Pitchers

ATL: Julio Teheran – R (8-8, 3.53 ERA/1.33 WHIP)

COL: Tim Melville – R (1-0, 1.29 ERA/0.57 WHIP)

The Braves will make an unusual road trip out to Colorado to face the Rockies for just one game – this is a makeup date for an April 10 cancellation due to inclement weather. 

Moneyline: Braves (-152) @ Rockies

The Braves opened as -140 favorites, but have since moved up slightly to -152. While the scheduling is anything but normal, the Braves have won eight straight games coming into today after winning the last two of a series against the Dodgers and then sweeping the Marlins and Mets for three games apiece this week. On the other hand, the Rockies have lost six of their last seven games, including each of the last four – all against the Cardinals. 

Braves Betting Form

Julio Teheran has a great history against the Rockies, going 6-1 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Aside from a blowup outing against the Mets two starts ago, Teheran has been great since the All-Star break allowing three runs or fewer in seven of those eight starts.

Rockies Betting Form

Tim Melville had a great debut for his new team last time out, but he’ll face a much more potent offense in this game. Perhaps, he can do well early against a Braves team on this awkward journey, but that can only last for so long. 

Betting Tip: Atlanta Braves (-152)

The Braves are -152 favorites today, so it’s worth noting that they’re 13-1 on the moneyline this season when favored on the road by -125 to -175. 

St Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers

Time: 7:10 p.m. EST

Starting Pitchers

STL: Adam Wainwright – R (9-9, 4.51 ERA/1.44 WHIP)

MIL: Gio Gonzalez – L (2-1, 3.64 ERA/1.26 WHIP)

The Milwaukee Brewers sit 4.5 games back of the red-hot St. Louis Cardinals in the NL Central race. The Cards have won 13 of their last 16 games, with two of them coming against the Brewers in a three-game series last week.

Moneyline: Cardinals @ Brewers

The line hasn’t moved one bit on this game yet. While the Cardinals are hot, they’ll be taking on a desperate Brewers team – the most dangerous team in baseball is usually a desperate one. With the scene of last week’s series shifting to Miller Park in Milwaukee, the Brewers have become a much more convincing favorite after the two teams were nearly even in all of the previous three meetings. 

Cardinals Betting Form

Adam Wainwright has a good history against the Brewers, but his last start came against this same team – and it didn’t go so well. Milwaukee hung eight hits, four walks, and five runs on the scoreboard against him in five innings. It’s worth noting, Wainwright has been much worse on the road this season, posting a 3-6 record and 6.64 ERA compared to a 6-3 record and 2.67 ERA. 

If the Cardinals get it done in this game, it’ll be offensively as they’ve posted six runs or more in five of the last six games, including each of the last four. St. Louis has been doing well against left-handed pitching recently, so this could certainly be an angle to attack. 

Brewers Betting Form

Gio Gonzalez had a nice outing against the Cardinals last week, allowing only one run over five innings, but his bullpen let him down and eventually lost the game, 9-4. Since returning from the injured list on July 20, Gonzalez has allowed three runs or fewer in five of his six starts. 

Milwaukee’s offense hit a snag on Sunday, but they have looked much better in recent games. Look for them to put some runs on the scoreboard once again versus Wainwright. 

Betting Tip: Over 9.5

In this matchup, we’ve got two offenses that have seen each of these starting pitchers over the last week. Typically, that’s not a good thing for pitchers, as they’re fresh in the minds of these hitters. Not to mention, Miller Park is one of the better parks in baseball for offenses, so this should work well to bettor’s advantages. 

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

Time: 9:45 p.m. EST

Starting Pitchers

ARZ: Alex Young – L (5-3, 4.04 ERA/1.14 WHIP)

SF: Tyler Beede – R (3-7, 5.82 ERA/1.63 WHIP)

The Diamondbacks and Giants both have slim playoff hopes on the line when they meet tonight at Oracle Park in San Francisco. These two teams also faced off last week, with the Giants taking three of the four games in that series. 

Moneyline: Diamondbacks @ Giants

While the betting odds for each team hasn’t moved much, the total on this game has dropped from 9.0 to 8.5 – usually a good sign that offense could be lacking. Not to mention, Oracle Park is one of the worst parks in all of baseball for scoring runs.

Diamondbacks Betting Form

Alex Young has pitched well starting at the major-league level, and the benefit of this ballpark should do him wonders. The young lefty doesn’t record a ton of strikeouts (37 in 49 innings), but that’s ok – getting contact will be fine in the cool mid-60s temperatures tonight. Those cooler temperatures don’t allow the ball to carry as much in that air, so we probably won’t see too many home runs. 

Before scoring five runs yesterday, the D-Backs’ offense had posted three runs in the previous three games. It won’t be easy to put runs on the board in tonight’s conditions, so look for them to go back to their low-scoring ways. It still might be enough to get them the win, though. 

Giants Betting Form

Since hurling a masterful performance in a head-to-head matchup against Jacob deGrom back on July 19, Tyler Beede just hasn’t been the same guy. Tonight is a great night for him to get back on the good foot against a struggling D-Backs’ offense. While he might not go deep into this game, the Giants’ bullpen can certainly have his back as they’re one of the best units in baseball.

The Giants’ offense got back on track in recent days, but know they’ll head back to the unfriendly hitting zone that is Oracle Park. Young’s pitching style creates a nice mixture of fly-balls and ground-balls, so expect this offense to be fooled more than a few times tonight.  

Betting Tip: Under 8.5

Six of the last seven D-Backs’ games have gone under the total while four of the last six Giants’ games have done the same. As we mentioned, those mid-60s temperatures will not allow the ball to carry in that thick West coast air. Look for these pitchers to pitch to contact, but the fielding will play a major role in keeping this total from going over. 

Al Walsh
Al Walsh Chief Sports Writer