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NCAAF Betting Pick: Houston Cougars at Tulane Green Wave

Houston Cougars running back Kyle Porter (22) carries the ball during the AdvoCare Kickoff college football game between the Washington State Cougars and Houston Cougars at NRG Stadium. The game flattered Houston and that's why we're betting on Tulane.
With the short turnaround this week, Houston will be up against when they play at Tulane. Our betting tip is Tulane -5.

Even with an NFL game on Thursday night, the Houston-Tulane game is certainly one you’ll want on another screen. The conference rivals have played well early, especially getting tested against ranked opponents. This is a great way for the two teams to start their AAC schedule. In this article we’ll study the odds, consider Houston and Tulane’s betting form and offer our betting pick to beat the bookie.

Houston Cougars at Tulane Green Wave (-5) – O/U: 57.5

Time: Thursday 19th September 8:00 p.m. EST

Betting Pick: Tulane -5

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Odds Analysis: Houston at Tulane

The line opened in favor of Tulane at -3 but has since moved to -5. We’ve got a nice case of reverse line movement here, as 67 percent of public bets/68 percent of money wagered on Houston. In addition, the total moved slightly from 58.0 to 57.5. We saw 61 percent of public bets and money wagered both on the over.

Houston Betting Form

Houston has already played two ranked teams, losing to #4 Oklahoma (49-31) and #20 Washington State (31-24). With so many public bettors thinking they’ll be fine, with two Top-25 matchups already, they shouldn’t be so optimistic. The Houston defense should consider itself lucky more points weren’t scored last week against Washington State. If it weren’t for a couple of missed field goals and other mistakes, the game would’ve been more lopsided.

Tulane Betting Form

Tulane’s only loss came against #10 Auburn, by the score of 24-6. In their other two games, the Green Wave has outscored the opposition 100-20. The defense has been outstanding so far, and they’ll certainly be geared up for the primetime matchup at home. Look for this unit to be the difference in the game.

Betting Pick: Tulane -5

Both teams have a prolific rushing attack, but it’s the run-defense we need to look at here. Tulane ranks 36th-best in the country, with 115.5 rushing yards allowed per game, while Houston is giving up a whopping 201.5 rushing yards (ranked no. 97). Since both teams had less time to prepare, you tend to give the advantage to the home team, and this time is no different. Look for Tulane to control the clock, while also stopping the Houston rushing attack and putting itself in good field position.

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