NCAAF Saturday Betting Tips (9/7/19)

#12 Texas A&M at #1 Clemson

#25 Nebraska Cornhuskers at Colorado Buffaloes

#6 LSU Tigers at #9 Texas Longhorns

12 Texas A&M at #1 Clemson (-17.5)

Pick: Over 64 | Bet with Resorts Now

Time: 3:30 p.m. EST

This will be Clemson’s biggest test of the season, albeit an inter-conference showdown against a Texas A&M opponent they barely clipped 28-26 in last year’s meeting. The Tigers had a slow start out of the gate last season, but they’ve now won 11 straight games by 20 points or more – that after beating Georgia Tech by the score of 52-14. Texas A&M got off on the right foot, winning their season opener over Texas State 41-7.

Odds Analysis: Texas A&M at Clemson

This game actually opened with Clemson as 20-point favorites before coming down to 17.5. This peculiar point-spread certainly puts bettors in a pickle, and it seems like most of them have sided with Texas A&M in this regard, as 76 percent of wagers are in that direction. Also, 78 percent of the bets have come in on the over, pushing the total from 61 to 64.

Texas A&M Betting Form

The Aggies looked good in their season-opening win, and it probably could’ve even been more of an advantage than the 41-7 score indicated. While Clemson is the almighty giant in college football, Texas A&M does have an offensive line that can certainly hang with that revamped D-line on the other side.

Clemson Betting Form

Clemson’s offensive attack in the season opener was led by running back Travis Etienne, who rushed for 205 yards and three touchdowns on just 12 carries. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence ended up throwing two interceptions, one of them coming on an end-of-half desperation toss to the end zone. At the end of the day, Clemson’s offense is going to be fine and score plenty of points this season.

Betting Pick: Over 64

With the point-spread being so high, we’ll take the total going over. That matchup of the Aggies’ O-line against the young Tigers’ D-line could prove to be the difference here. Texas A&M Jimbo Fisher has faced Dabo Swinney’s Clemson defenses for a while now, after coaching Florida State for so long, and his teams have been able to move the ball just fine. Clemson’s offense is going to put points on the board in every single game – no reason to ever worry about them.

Predict a points fest? Bet with Resorts Now

25 Nebraska Cornhuskers (-4) at Colorado Buffaloes

Pick: Colorado +4 | Bet with PointsBet Now

Time: 3:30 p.m. EST

Both teams got off to a nice start in Week 1, with Nebraska defeating South Alabama by the score of 35-21 while Colorado handled rival Colorado State in their annual meeting by the score of 52-31. As for the matchup between the teams, the rivalry has been subsided with the two now in different conferences. Nonetheless, Colorado won last year’s meeting by the score of 33-28.

Odds Analysis: Nebraska at Colorado

This line started all the way at -7.5 in favor of Nebraska and has now dropped down to -4. In addition, the total received 84 percent of the bets, moving it from 59.5 to 64.

Nebraska Betting Form

Nebraska averaged a putrid 2.2 yards per carry in last week’s win against South Alabama, so that is definitely a concern heading into this matchup. The offense, in general, wasn’t great with a total of 276 yards but it was enough to get the win against a meager opponent.

The defense, however, fared much better by forcing five turnovers and recording four sacks. If they want to have any chance in this game, the optimism will likely come from that side of the ball.

Colorado Betting Form

Colorado is not the laughingstock they once were and have really been rolling since the second half of last season. They’ve got a very exciting player in wide receiver Laviska Shenault that the country will certainly want to tune in to see. The offensive line also looked great in the season opener, allowing running back Alex Fontenot to run for 125 yards and three touchdowns.

This game is supposed to be a shootout but if Colorado’s defense remotely shows up, this could end up being an easy victory for the home team. Given how poorly Nebraska’s offense played in the season opener, this is certainly a reality for Colorado.

Pick: Colorado +4

We’ve outlined it a few times above, but it doesn’t appear like Nebraska’s offense is ready to start the season. Not to mention, playing in Colorado early in the season is no easy task – players get tired a lot quicker from the higher altitude. We like the Buffaloes to win this game convincingly.

Backing Colorado? Bet with PointsBet Now

#6 LSU Tigers (-6.5) at #9 Texas Longhorns

Pick: Lions -2.5 | Bet with BetMGM Now

Time: 7:30 p.m. EST

This will be the marquee game on the college football schedule for Week 2, as LSU travels to Austin for a huge matchup with College Football Playoff implications at the end of the season. LSU has been in plenty of these big games before, but Texas (with exception to their annual meeting against Oklahoma) really hasn’t been. Could that play a part in this matchup?

Odds Analysis: LSU at Texas

This line opened at -3 in favor of LSU but has since jumped back up to -6.5 with the majority of the public behind them. In actuality, this line bounced all over the place during the summer, where Texas was even -1 at one point. Also, the total opened at 53 and has now gone to 57.

LSU Betting Form

LSU had an amazing start to the season, and it appears like this new offense is something that could the program to new and exciting levels. Granted, not many schools have a history like LSU, but they have been somewhat mitigated over the last decade with all of Alabama’s success.

Joe Burrow looked great last week, leading the Tigers to five touchdowns in as many drives. LSU is now relying on spacing and getting the ball to their great wealth of talented skill players. If that Texas defense doesn’t bring its A-game, we could certainly see a repeat of that last game.

LSU’s defense could very well be the unit that determines this game. They have so much talent there on a yearly basis, and 2019 is no different. This stout defensive unit is going to make it difficult for Texas to move the ball.

Texas Betting Form

As an underdog in his coaching career, Texas head coach Tom Herman is 13-2-1 against the spread while covering by 13.8 points per game. However, it’s the Texas defense that is key in this matchup. While they didn’t generate much pressure up front against a much less-talented Louisiana Tech offensive line, Texas runs a package with multiple defensive backs. Not to mention, they see plenty of spread-offenses during Big-12 play each year. LSU’s offense came out slinging in the season opener, albeit against a weak opponent, but this is definitely a matchup to keep an eye on.

Texas quarterback Sam Ehlinger will likely be under duress all night, and that doesn’t bode well for this team. The Longhorns see a lot of weak Big-12 defenses on a regular basis, so Saturday night’s matchup will be too much for them to handle. Texas has an inexperienced offensive line that will get swallowed up in an instant.

Betting Pick: LSU -6.5

As we mentioned, there’s a lot of guessing that goes into analyzing this game. Nonetheless, this is one of the few times when agreeing with the vast majority of the public should pay off in our favor. We’ve never seen this Air Raid system be successful in the NFL – hell, we’ve never even seen Kingsbury be successful in college! Roarrrrrrrrr!

Fancy the Tigers to roar? Bet with BetMGM Now

Al Walsh
Al Walsh Chief Sports Writer