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NFL Picks | Expert Picks for Week 1

It’s hard to believe but our first Week 1 Sunday action will finally get kicked off after what seemed like the longest offseason. Hopefully, you followed last month’s article of taking lines early and cashed with the Kansas City Chiefs winning easily over the Houston Texans by the score of 34-20.

My Week 1 Sunday breakdowns will include the New York Jets at Buffalo Bills, Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Football Team, and Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens.

In this article, I’ll evaluate the best positions from these games and find the best NFL value bets on the board. For today’s games, the odds are courtesy of Bet365 Sportsbook.


Buffalo Bills

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills

Odds MarketNY JetsBF Bills
Moneyline+250-310
Spread+6.5 (-105)-6.5 (-115)
TotalsO 39.5 (-110) U 39.5 (-110)

Betting Pick: Buy Jets to +7 (-120)

It’s going to be a rainy day in Buffalo, which lends optimism to a closer game. Nevertheless, the Bills aren’t good enough to be favored by nearly a TD in this game — even against the Jets.

The smart move in this game is to buy the Jets up to +7. You’ll get them at a nice number that can possibly push, but it’s merely just a cushion.


Philadelphia Eagles Quarterback Carson Wentz

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Football Team

Odds MarketPHI EaglesWAS Team
Moneyline-235+195
Spread-5.5 (-105)+5.5 (-105)
TotalsO 42 (-110) U 42 (-110)

Betting Pick: Eagles ML (-240)

The Eagles will be without RB Miles Sanders but we’re just looking for an outright win here. Philly has a lot of familiar pieces returning and that can help against a Washington team that is working under a new head coach in Run Rivera.

Despite the supposed mismatch, I don’t feel comfortable taking the Birds with any points on the road. A 3-point win seems appropriate in Week 1.


Other Week 1 Picks


Cleveland Browns wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr.

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens

Odds MarketCLE BrownsBAL Ravens
Moneyline+280-360
Spread+7 (-105)-7 (-115)
TotalsO 47.5 (-110) U 47.5 (-110)

Betting Pick: Buy Browns up to +7 (-105)

And now for the main event of the afternoon. This is going to be a fantastic matchup of QBs Lamar Jackson vs. Baker Mayfield that will have plenty of side stories.

I’ve taken flack all week for supporting the Browns, but there’s no way I’m having down now. This is a much-improved team, especially on the offensive line, which allowed Cleveland to run all over them last season. Sure, buying up to +10 is expensive, but I don’t like taking chances in Week 1.

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