NFL Week 10 TNF Betting Picks – LA Chargers at Oakland Raiders

In this article, we’ll provide you with our top football betting picks for the Week 10 Thursday Night Football game with the LA Chargers at Oakland Raiders. We’ll study the odds, betting lines, teams, and players to give you our recommended betting picks to beat the New Jersey sportsbooks.

NFL Week 10 TNF Betting Pick - Chargers at Raiders

Los Angeles Chargers (-1) at Oakland Raiders – Total: 48

Thursday, November 7, 2019 – 8:20 p.m. EST

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NFL Week 10 TNF Betting Pick:  Chargers (ML: -112)

The loser of this game between the Los Angeles Chargers and Oakland Raiders will have a tough time making the playoffs. Both sides have similar records – Chargers at 4-5, Raiders at 4-4 – which makes this rivalry game even more important. Our top betting pick is for the Chargers to win outright. Let’s dive into the numbers to see how we arrived at this conclusion.

NFL Week 10 TNF Betting Lines: Chargers at Raiders

Los Angeles is getting most of the love, with 71 percent of public bets/74 percent of all money wagered on their side. That is part of the reason we saw the line move from Oakland -1 to LA -1. As more money comes in on LA, it’s possible to see the line jump up even more.

Chargers Betting Form

The Chargers are coming off a huge win on Sunday that might have temporarily saved their season. At 4-5, chances of making the playoffs don’t look great, but they’re not dead yet.

QB Philip Rivers has an 8 TD-1 INT ratio in his last four meetings with the Raiders. Not only does he have success against the upcoming opponent, but Rivers is also leading the NFL in passing yards (2,609). This is a fantastic matchup, considering the Raiders are allowing an NFL-high 297.5 passing yards per game.

Last week, RB Melvin Gordon had his most productive game since ending his holdout. He scored two touchdowns and racked up a total of 109 yards to control the clock against the Packers. With Gordon back, that gives the Chargers a dynamic 1-2 punch in the backfield with Austin Ekeler. Since this is a short week of preparation and rest, having that rotation of backs is even more important.

LA’s defense has stepped up big over the last two games, both wins, allowing a total of 27 points. This defense is a little below league-average at stopping the run. Although, they performed well against Green Bay last week with only 45 yards allowed on the ground.

Raiders Betting Form

If the Raiders want to win this Week 10 TNF game, QB Derek Carr will need to improve against this Chargers’ defense. In the last five meetings against LA, he hasn’t thrown multiple TDs and owns a 4 TD-5 INT ratio. Carr does have a nice 7 TD-1 INT ratio over the last three weeks. However, not many of those games came against defenses like the Chargers will throw his way.

RB Josh Jacobs will continue to be the key factor for Oakland’s success. In the last four games, Jacobs has run for over 100 yards in three of those. The rookie has been fantastic this season with 740 rushing yards and six touchdowns.

As we mentioned, the Raiders’ defense is getting scorched through the air and that won’t bode well against such a formidable passing attack. The best way to stop Rivers & Co. is by getting generating pressure upfront. Look for Oakland to stunt and try innovative ways to do so.

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NFL Week 10 TNF Betting Pick: Chargers (ML: -112)

The Chargers have won four straight meetings against the Raiders, and we’re picking them to make it five. It’s also worth noting that the total has gone under in each of those four matchups. The Chargers are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games, giving us plenty of confidence that Rivers will perform well again in a challenging spot.

Chargers118-1 (-110)Over 49 (-110)
Raiders-104+1 (-110)Under 49 (-110)

SugarHouse odds at the time of publishing

Al Walsh
Al Walsh Chief Sports Writer