MNF Player Props – BUF Bills at NE Patriots

Week 16 of the NFL season comes to an end, as the Buffalo Bills make the short road trip to face the New England Patriots. The AFC East-leading Bills, currently sitting at 11-3, will look to take a step in the right direction towards securing the No. 2 seed in the AFC with a win.

Buffalo has been installed as a seven-point favorite, with the moneyline odds to win outright set at -315. On the flip side, New England has moneyline odds to win outright set at +275. The over/under total on the game is set at 46.5 points.

BUF-7 (-110)-315
NE+7 (-110)+275
Total46.5 Points 

In this article, I will identify the best value in the player-prop betting market from the Chargers-Raiders matchup. The odds in this article are from William Hill Sports – Use the promo code TS500 for a 100% first-time sign-up deposit bonus of up to $500.

Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) at New England Patriots

Monday, 8:15 pm EST | Watch: ESPN
Gillette Stadium – Foxborough, MA

Prop Bets Watch:

  • Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-210)
  • Over 274.5 Passing Yards (-115)
  • Over 23.5 Passing Completions (-115)
  • Over 35.5 Passing Attempts (-115)
  • Over 29.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
  • Under 0.5 Passing Interceptions (-125)
  • Anytime Touchdown (+110)

Allen doesn’t have the greatest history against Belichick and the Patriots, but this is a much different situation from what we have known in the past. For one, New England has been officially eliminated from the playoffs, and you have to wonder where their collective heads are at. In addition, there are just so many damn injuries on this roster right now. Most importantly, the Patriots are missing CB Stephon Gilmore, making this a very unintimidating defensive unit at the moment.

Allen is coming off of an amazing performance against the Broncos last Saturday, passing for 359 yards and two TDs while rushing for 33 yards and another two end-zone scores on the ground.

There aren’t a lot of alternate paths of success for the Bills- it’s pretty much Allen or nothing. Look for him to finally get Belichick off his mind and lead Buffalo to a comfortable victory.

Stefon Diggs (Buffalo Bills) at New England Patriots

Monday, 8:15 pm EST | Watch: ESPN
Gillette Stadium – Foxborough, MA

Prop Bets Watch:

  • Over 88.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
  • Over 6.5 Receptions (-160)
  • Anytime Touchdown (+110)

If Allen is going to have a huge game, then it makes sense for Diggs to do the same. This guy is on a truly amazing tear, going for at least 90 yards in six of his last seven games.

As I mentioned earlier, the Patriots will be without Gilmore at CB and that’ll make this task of defending Diggs that much harder. Earlier this season against New England, Diggs had six catches on nine targets for 92yards.

James White (New England Patriots) vs. Buffalo Bills

Monday, 8:15 pm EST | Watch: ESPN
Gillette Stadium – Foxborough, MA

Prop Bets Watch:

  • Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
  • Over 3.5 Receptions (+140)

I wrote up White in last week’s RB article and he came through for the fine people that put their trust in him, catching all four of his targets for 52 yards against the Dolphins.

This is another good spot for White, considering the Bills should be leading for the majority of this game. When that happens, the Patriots will need to go into heavy pass mode and that’ll give him another path to success.

It’s almost as if a lot of people have forgotten about White, and that’s good news for us bettors. His prop numbers make it that much easier to cash in on tonight.

Al Walsh
Al Walsh Chief Sports Writer