Week 13 of the NFL season gets a lid on it as the Dallas Cowboys face the Baltimore Ravens. As the home team, the Ravens have been installed as an eight-point favorite, with -345 moneyline odds, while the Cowboys are at +285 to win outright. We have seen some wild games over the last couple of days, so nothing is truly out of question.
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In this article, I will identify the best value in the player prop betting market for tonight’s Cowboys-Ravens game. The odds in this article are from William Hill Sports – Use the promo code TS500 for a 100% first-time sign-up deposit bonus of up to $500.
Lamar Jackson – Over 53.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
This will be the first game back for Jackson, who missed last week’s game after testing positive for COVID-19. He should be fine health wise, considering the positive test came well before the team’s last game; it essentially been 10 days since. That all is good news for Jackson, whose body got some much needed rest.
Jackson has rushed for at least 45 yards in all but one game this season. In fact, he has rushed for at least 50 yards in each of the last five games. Another mobile QB, in Kyler Murray of the Arizona Cardinals, rushed for 74 yards and a TD against the Cowboys earlier this season.
Marquise Brown – Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Hollywood Brown finally (I mean, FINALLY) got back on the statistical good foot last week, heavily influenced by a late 70-yard TD. Unfortunately, it came from Ravens third-string QB Trace McSorley. Sometimes they say a baseball player can get back in the groove with one good swing- I’ve got the same thought in this regard.
If Brown really is going to do some damage, it might as well come against a Cowboys defense that ranks 21st DVOA against the pass. Most of the damage has been done earlier in the year against the Dallas secondary, but I have a feeling this could be a big night for Baltimore’s offense.
Ezekiel Elliott – Over 17.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
It has truly been a disastrous season for Elliott, who has fumbled the ball six times this season- losing five of them to the other team. Aside from a 100-yard performance against Minnesota in Week 11, Zeke has failed to reach triple-digits on the ground in every other game this season. In fact, he has gone under this 58.5-yard mark in six of his last nine games.
Baltimore boasts the NFL’s third-best run defense DVOA, so Dallas will need to get creative in how it gets the ball to Elliott. There have 10 different RBs to get 10+ receiving yards against the Ravens this season, with eight of them getting 17 yards or more.