NFL Player Props – Wide Receiver Picks for Week 16

Week 16 of the NFL season is a big week for most fantasy football players, considering it is the championship round. The wide receivers will go a long way in determining those matchups, but we can also be smartly selfish and capitalize on some prop bets as well.

In this article, I will identify the best value in the player-prop betting market from these WR matchups. The odds in this article are from William Hill Sports – Use the promo code TS500 for a 100% first-time sign-up deposit bonus of up to $500.



NFL Player Props – Wide Receiver Picks for Week 16

Allen Robinson (Chicago Bears) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Sunday, 1:00 pm EST | Watch: CBS
TIAA Bank Field – Jacksonville, FL

Prop Bets Watch:

  • Over Receiving Yards
  • Over Receptions
  • Anytime TD

Since I put Mitchell Trubisky in QB section, it’s only naturally to Robinson here with the WRs… again. I swear, no other in the NFL has been in this article more than this guy. I’m OK with that, and you should be too.

It makes that A-Rob is featured here a ton. After all, he does have third-most targets (133) in the NFL this season. Since Trubisky has gotten back the starting QB role, Robinson has two games with exactly 13 targets.

This could very well be another heavily-targeted game, considering the Jaguars are surrendering the fifth-most passing yards per game (271.7) this season. Not to mention, A-Rob’s direct matchup is against Greg Mabin, who is allowing 10.5 yards per target.


Keke Coutee (Houston Texans) vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Sunday, 1:00 pm EST | Watch: CBS
NRG Stadium – Houston, TX

Prop Bets Watch:

  • Over 51.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
  • Over 4.5 Receptions (+120)
  • Anytime TD (+163)

I was a bit near-sighted in writing last week’s Monday Night Football article, in that I gave the Bengals no chance to win the game. Of course, they went on to pull a huge upset over the Pittsburgh Steelers. I’m definitely not scared to go against them again, but it’ll just be from a different perspective here.

Texans WR Brandin Cooks has a very difficult matchup against Bengals CB William Jackson III, who is allowing an insane 52.5% catch rate to opposing WRs over his career. This should free up plenty of space for Coutee to do his thing, and he’s certainly got plenty of motivation to do just that. In the closing seconds of last week’s 27-20 loss to the Colts, Coutee fumbled away the possible game-tying touchdown at the goal line.

Of course, the Texans aren’t going to the playoffs, but a win against the Colts would have been a nice start to the final push of the season. Look for Coutee to be highly-motivated in a game where the Texans opened as a heavy nine-point favorite.


More NFL Player Props


Cooper Kupp (Los Angeles Rams) at Seattle Seahawks

Sunday, 4:25 pm EST | Watch: FOX
CenturyLink Field – Seattle, WA

Prop Bets Watch:

  • Over 61.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
  • Over 5.5 Receptions (-130)
  • Anytime TD (+175)

Last week, the Rams suffered the most embarrassing loss of the season, falling to the New York Jets by the score of 24-20. Now, LA faces a Seattle team that stands in its way of winning the NFC West.

In my humble opinion, the key to victory for the Rams is Kupp, who leads the team in receptions (84), targets (115) and yards (908). In recent weeks, QB Jared Goff has been finding Robert Woods a lot more than usual, so I’d expect the Seahawks to have a defensive game plan that stifles him.

Kupp does have two huge performances against Seattle over his career. With RB Cam Akers ruled out for the game, look for LA to take more to the air, where Kupp will be waiting with open arms (pun intended).

Al Walsh
Al Walsh Chief Sports Writer