Prizepicks Picks For Week 1: Best Value Plays To Win

Logan Thomas is one of our top PrizePicks Picks For Week 1
Logan Thomas is one of our top PrizePicks Picks For Week 1

It’s one of the best times of the year—football is back! If you’re like me, you probably want to enjoy it in as many ways as possible. One fun way to do so is one Prizepicks. On Prizepicks, you can pick anywhere from 2 to 5 players based on how successful they’ll be on the field, and you win rewards based on their success—almost like a lottery ticket for football. Without any further ado, here’s some of my favorite Prizepicks Picks For Week 1.

Top Prizepicks Picks For Week 1

Najee Harris OVER 57.5 Rushing Yards

Yes, Harris is a rookie on a 6.5-point-underdog road team. However, there are reasons to believe the former Alabama stud can blow by this total. Fortunately, there are no proven veterans behind him on the depth chart to siphon away carries. Although Benny Snell and Kalen Ballage have had their moments in the sun, neither is paid nor otherwise recognized as leaders of an RB committee. Better yet, Buffalo had a bottom-5 run defense grade last year (per PFF). Of course, it’s not exactly the same team as last year. Overall, however, Buffalo seems to be bent towards a particular strategy: focus on the pass, don’t worry about the run. If Harris gets a conservative 60% of team carries and the Steelers don’t fall behind by multiple touchdowns early, he wouldn’t need much more than 4 yards per carry to reach this total. 

Chris Carson OVER 68.5 Rushing Yards 

Carson is another player who should get off to a hot start in 2021. When healthy, the Seahawks have shown us time and again that they trust him as a lead back. In fact, they did so even after he fumbled an astounding 7 times in 2019. Better yet, Week 1 sets up as the perfect situation for Carson to again reward the team’s trust. After reasserting their commitment to the run game in the offseason, Seattle should have no issues proving it. Although they’re on the road, they’re the favorite in the climate-controlled Lucas Oil stadium. Although Rashaad Penny, Carson’s electric backup, should be back in tow, there’s no reason to expect Seattle to shy away from Carson for a player who only played 3 games last year and 12 since 2019.

Logan Thomas OVER 40.5 Receiving Yards

Although he recently turned 30, 2020 can reasonably be described as a year of learning and transition for Thomas. The pandemic-affected season was in fact the converted QB’s first full season as a number-one tight end after switching positions in 2017. He wasn’t very efficient, but there are reasons for optimism, most notably his 110 targets is the third-best in the league. When rookie tight ends are drafted to the NFL, the numbers suggest that they’ll need about 3 years before acclimating to the NFL and that’s after playing tight end in college (and probably high school).

Heading into Year 5, Thomas should be ready to focus less on learning the nuances of the position and more on producing; this feat should be much easier this year with the gunslinging Ryan “Fitzmagic” Fitzpatrick at QB and rookie TE John Bates serving as his backup. 40 yards is more than doable for the uber-athletic Virginia Tech alum. 

PrizePicks Payout From A $20 Stake

Flex Play – 3 correct pays (2.25X)$45
Flex Play – 2 correct pays (1.25X)$25
Power Play (Must Hit 3 out of 3)$100
Rich Torres
Rich Torres Sportswriter at US-Odds