Week 3 | Opening Betting Lines To Exploit

Another week of football is in the books, and now it’s time for Week 3 of the NFL season. In Week 2, the underdogs covered nine of the 16 games while 10 of them went over the total. 

In this article, I’ll identify some early positions that we may be able to take advantage of. More and more, we’re starting to see more advanced bettors jump on these spreads early in the week to get a more favorable position. 

All odds are via DraftKings Sportsbook, posted on Monday night (Sept. 21, 10 p.m. EST). 


Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars – Total: 47.5
Thursday, 8:20 p.m. EST | Watch: NFL Network

MIA | Spread: +2.5 | Moneyline: +125
JAX | Spread: -2.5 | Moneyline: -152

Early money is flooding in on the Jaguars, and it makes plenty of sense. After all, the game will be played in Jacksonville, where there are a limited number of fans in the stadium. Both teams have surprisingly played well to the start the season, so it’ll be interesting to see which team pulls this one out. Road teams are at a distinct disadvantage in these short-week games with travel and less preparation. 


San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants – Total: 40.5
Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EST | Watch: FOX

SF | Spread: -4.5 | Moneyline: -210
NYG | Spread: +4.5 | Moneyline: +170

The biggest difference in bets made to money wagered is in this game between the 49ers and Giants. More people believe that San Francisco will still cover 4.5-point spread while the amount of money is strong with New York. Both teams have major injuries to deal with, although, the 49ers were absolutely decimated in Week 2 – in this same stadium. With the huge disparity in the betting market, this could very well be one of the biggest upsets of the week. 


Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Denver Broncos – Total: 43
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. EST | Watch: FOX

TB | Spread: -6 | Moneyline: -265
DEN | Spread: +6 | Moneyline: +215

This is certainly one of the more interesting spreads of the week, considering Tom Brady has always struggled in the high altitude of Denver. Things could be a lot different this time around, though, as the Broncos will be without starting QB Drew Lock in this game. While I do believe the Buccaneers will win the game, six points could be a lot to cover in this situation. 


Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks – Total: 55.5
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. EST | Watch: FOX

DAL | Spread: +4.5 | Moneyline: +180
SEA | Spread: -4.5 | Moneyline: -225

There is another disparity between bets made and money wagered in the Cowboys-Seahawks game. The public is all over Seattle after that miraculous home win in Week 2 against New England. Smart money is siding with Dallas, which had that unbelievable come-from-behind win at home against Atlanta. According to the early indications, the Cowboys could very well play a solid game on Sunday. 


Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens – Total: 53.5
Monday, 8:15 p.m. EST | Watch: ESPN

KC | Spread: +3.5 | Moneyline: +145
BAL | Spread: -3.5 | Moneyline: -180

Unsurprisingly, this has already been the most bet game of the Week 3 schedule. After all, we do have a matchup between the two teams that have the best odds to reach the Super Bowl. This will also be a matchup of the last two MVPs, QBs Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes, for the first time since Week 3 of last season, with the Chiefs winning 33-28. On Monday, we’ll have a comprehensive breakdown of prop bets to take in that game. 


Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons – Total: 48
Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EST | Watch: FOX

CHI | Spread: +3.5 | Moneyline: +155
ATL | Spread: -3.5 | Moneyline: -190


Cincinnati Bengals at Philadelphia Eagles – Total: 46.5
Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EST | Watch: CBS

CIN | Spread: +6.5 | Moneyline: +235
PHI | Spread: -6.5 | Moneyline: -295


Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers – Total: 45
Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EST | Watch: CBS

HOU | Spread: +3.5 | Moneyline: +165
PIT | Spread: -3.5 | Moneyline: -200


Los Angeles Rams at Buffalo Bills – Total: 47.5
Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EST | Watch: FOX

LAR | Spread: +2.5 | Moneyline: +120
BUF | Spread: -2.5 | Moneyline: -148


Tennessee Titans at Minnesota Vikings – Total: 47
Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EST | Watch: CBS

TEN | Spread: -2.5 | Moneyline: -136
MIN | Spread: +2.5 | Moneyline: +112


Washington Football Team at Cleveland Browns – Total: 44
Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EST | Watch: FOX

WSH |Spread: +7.5 | Moneyline: +270
CLE | Spread: -7.5 | Moneyline: -345


Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots – Total: 47
Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EST | Watch: CBS

LV | Spread: +6.5 | Moneyline: +195
NE | Spread: -6.5 | Moneyline: -245


New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts – Total: 43.5
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. EST | Watch: CBS

NYJ | Spread: +10 | Moneyline: +350
IND | Spread: -10 | Moneyline: -455


Carolina Panthers at Los Angeles Chargers – Total: 43.5
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. EST | Watch: FOX

CAR | Spread: +7 | Moneyline: +250
LAC | Spread: -7 | Moneyline: -315


Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals – Total: 54.5
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. EST | Watch: FOX

DET | Spread: +5.5 | Moneyline: +195
ARZ | Spread: -5.5 | Moneyline: -245


Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints – Total: 51.5 
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. EST | Watch: NBC

GB | Spread: +3.5 | Moneyline: +160
NO | Spread: -3.5 | Moneyline: -195