2021 Northern Trust Picks – Best Value Golfers For The Weekend

Jon Rahm is one of our 2021 Northern Trust Picks For a Top 10 finish.

The PGA FedEx Cup Playoffs begin with The Northern Trust at Liberty National Golf Course in Jersey City, New Jersey. If you’re around the television this weekend, make sure you check out this event because you’ll see some excellent scenery from the nearby Lower Manhattan skyline.

In this week’s contest, be sure to look out for the specialists in these categories:

Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green (SGT2G)
Ball Striking
Par-4 Scoring Average (Par-4 Scoring)
Bogey Avoidance (Bog Avoid)

Most sports betting sites have made Jon Rahm the favorite with Caesars Sportsbook pricing him at +1000. After that, Rahm is followed by a close grouping of Jordan Spieth (+1600), Dustin Johnson (+1800), and Collin Morikawa (+1800).

In this article, I will break down some of these golfers, and even some others that could have a chance to cash in on plus-money odds. Without further ado, let’s check in on my best 2021 Northern Trust picks for this weekend.

2021 Northern Trust Open Picks


Outright Winner Pick

Collin Morikawa(+1800)

Morikawa is looking good coming into The Northern Trust, ranking first Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green, and second in both Ball Striking and Par-4 Scoring. In his last 10 outings, Morikawa has posted a win, a second-place finish, and four other Top-10 finishes. One thing I love about this guy is that when he gets the lead, he rarely relinquishes it. Morikawa would be a nice bet at some point over the weekend if you see he is ahead of the pack.

Top 10 Finish Picks

Jon Rahm(+110)

As the overall favorite, we have to keep an eye on Rahm. In his last five outings, Rahm has posted a win and three other Top-10 finishes. The only misnomer in that set was the MC at the Memorial Tournament, where he was leading by six strokes. If you were living under a rock, that was the one where Rahm had the positive COVID test during the round. Good thing that lapse in science didn’t ruin Rahm’s season because the man is absolutely cruising at the moment. Rahm has very strong ranks in Ball Striking (1st), SGT2G (2nd), Bog Avoid (10th), and Par-4 Scoring (20th).

Daniel Berger(+300)

Berger also has very strong ranks in the categories we’re looking for: Bog Avoid (1st), Par-4 Scoring (6th), Ball Striking (10th), and SGT2G (20th). In his last three outings, Berger has been lights-out with three Top-10 finishes. He does have some familiarity with Liberty National Golf Course, and that could be a big difference compared to his counterparts.

Sleeper Pick

Branden Grace(+8000)

Grace is back in good form with a second-place finish at the Wyndham Championship last weekend. It also wasn’t too long ago that he finished seventh at the U.S. Open. Liberty National Golf Course has its own set of challenges, just like others, but Grace’s navigation of the course could come into play here. This is a course that can pick up in wind later in the day, and he is one of the best in those conditions.

Northern Trust Odds From Caesars Sportsbook

GolferOdds by Caesars Sportsbook
Jon Rahm+1000
Jordan Spieth+1600
Dustin Johnson+1800
Collin Morikawa+1800
Rory Mcllroy+2200
Xander Schauffele+2200
Justin Thomas+2500
Brook Koepka+2500
Daniel Berger+2800
Bryson DeChambeau+2800
Abraham Ancer+2800
Scottie Scheffler+3000
Viktor Hovland+3000
Patrick Cantlay+3300
Webb Simpson+3300
Hideki Matsuyama+3300
Paul Casey+3500
Cameron Smith+3500
Harris English+4000
Adam Scott+4000
Patrick Reed+4000
Tony Finau+5000
Corey Conners+5500
Joaquin Niemann+5500
Sam Burns+5500
Matthew Fitzpatrick+5500
Tyrrell Hatton+6600
Sungjae Im+6600
Shane Lowry+6600
Kevin Kisner+6600
Jason Kokrak+6600
Russell Henley+6600
Brian Harman+7000
Ian Poulter+7000
Sergio Garcia+8000
Branden Grace+8000
Si-Woo Kim+8000
Kevin Na+8000
Cameron Tringale+10000
Jason Day+10000
Kevin Streelman+10000
Phil Mickelson+10000
Jhonattan Vegas+10000
Billy Horschel+10000
Keegan Bradley+12500
Lee Westwood+12500
Matthew Wolff+12500
Charley Hoffman+12500
Stewart Cink+12500
Seamus power+12500
Marc Leishman+12500
Cameron Davis+12500
Cameron Champ+12500
Emiliano Grillo+12500
Maverick McNealy+15000
Alex Noren+15000
Roger Sloan+15000
Matt Wallace+15000
Gary Woodland+15000
MacKenzie Hughes+15000
Brandt Snedeker+15000
C.T. Pan+15000
Max Homa+15000
Brendon Todd+15000
Carlos Ortiz+15000
Garrick Higgo+15000
Charl Schwartzel+15000
Harold Varner+15000
Bubba Watson+15000
Sebastian Munoz+15000
Ryan Palmer+15000
Chris Kirk+15000
Erik Van Rooyen+15000
Talor Gooch+17500
Pat Perez+20000
Patton Kizzire+20000
Lucas Glover+20000
Joel Dahmen+20000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+20000
Aaron Wise+20000
Hank Lebioda+20000
Adam Hadwin+20000
Scott Piercy+20000
Troy Merritt+25000
Matt Kuchar+25000
Kyle Stanley+25000
Sepp Straka+25000
Keith Mitchell+25000
Zach Johnson+25000
Doug Ghim+25000
Brian Stuard+25000
Chez Reavie+25000
J.T. Poston+25000
Matt Jones+25000
Dylan Frittelli+25000
James Hahn+30000
Henrik Norlander+30000
Brice Garnett+30000
Martin Laird+30000
Matthew NeSmith+30000
Brandon Hagy+30000
Luke List+30000
Russell Knox+30000
Andrew Putnam+30000
Lanto Griffin+30000
Adam Long+30000
Kramer Hickok+30000
Sam Ryder+30000
Scott Stallings+30000
Adam Schenk+30000
Chesson Hadley+30000
Doc Redman+30000
Brendan Steele+30000
Denny McCarthy+30000
Robert Streb+40000
Peter Mainati+40000
Tyler McCumber+40000
Harry Higgs+40000
Anirban Lahiri+40000
Richy Werenski+40000
Wyndham Clark+40000
Hudson Swafford+50000
Tom Hoge+50000
Brian Gay+75000
Al Walsh
Al Walsh Chief Sports Writer