In this article, we’ll provide you with our top college football picks for week 10. We’ll look at games between the Virginia Tech Hokies at Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Georgia Bulldogs at Florida Gators & Oregon Ducks at USC Trojans. We’ll study the betting lines, teams, and players to give you our recommended college football betting picks to beat the New Jersey sportsbooks!
Virginia Tech Hokies at #16 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-17) – Total: 58
Saturday, November 1, 2019 – 2:30 p.m. EST
Both teams had very different outcomes last week, as Notre Dame got blown out while Virginia Tech hung on to win in overtime. Notre Dame will certainly be out looking to avenge a bad loss to their longtime rivals. Virginia Tech, on the other hand, could get off to a slow start. That’s why our top betting pick is for the Fighting Irish to cover the massive 17-point spread.
Many of the bets have come in heavy on Virginia Tech covering this spread. And why wouldn’t they? The last thing people remember is Notre Dame getting clobbered in primetime by an overrated Michigan team. After seeing that, the 17-point spread seems like an unreasonable number. Look for the Fighting Irish to play with lots of motivation and right the wrongs of last week.
Virginia Tech Form
Virginia Tech is coming off a 6-OT game, which was actually the longest in ACC history. That will not bode well for their stamina against a Notre Dame team that can pound the football.
The Hokies have fought hard to get a 5-2 record. However, the competitive nature of the defeated teams wasn’t some of the best. Duke put a 45-10 whooping on Virginia Tech about a month ago. That was before defeating Miami, Rhode Island and North Carolina in the 6-OT game.
If VA Tech wants to cover this game, they’ll need to do it on offense. Notre Dame hasn’t been able to stop the run in some of these games against better teams. The Hokies have scored 30 points per game, with at least 34 in each of the last three games.
Notre Dame Form
While VA Tech’s defense has done well against the run, they haven’t played many solid running attacks. Not to mention, they’ll be a lot more tired than usual and emotionally-spent from the last game. Notre Dame puts up 168.3 rushing yards per game this season but was held to 47 last week against Michigan in the rain. That potent attack will get rolling back on track in this situation and really set the tone.
QB Ian Book is still the man under center for the Fighting Irish. Last week, he was pulled in the fourth quarter. Head coach Brian Kelly said there’s no controversy and he just wanted to get Book out of a meaningless game. Aside from last week, Book has been solid for most of the season and owns a 15 TD-2 INT ratio.
This is one of those lines that seem too good to be true for Virginia Tech, which leads us to believe it won’t be. Notre Dame will be looking to win its 16th straight game and have plenty of motivation to do so. Look for the Fighting to stay relevant in the rankings with a convincing win.
8 Georgia Bulldogs (-6.5) at #6 Florida Gators – Total: 44.5
Saturday, November 1, 2019 – 3:30 p.m. EST
“The annual World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party” takes place in Jacksonville again for one of the most important meetings in this rivalry’s history. While it is startling to see the Georgia Bulldogs favored by so many points in this game, we don’t believe they’ll be able to cover. That’s why our top betting pick is for the Florida Gators to cover the 6.5-point spread. Let’s get to the numbers and see why we’re heading in this direction.
The public is siding more with Florida in this matchup, while all of the money wagered is more of a 50-50 split. Both teams have solid defenses so it wouldn’t be surprising to see a very close game. Not to mention, the winner of this game moves into first place in the SEC East. This could end up being a low-scoring field goal game in either direction.
Georgia has beaten Florida each of the last two years by a combined score of 78-24. Ouch! That is obviously a favorable stat for the Bulldogs, but their offense has been in shambles over the last two weeks and QB Jake Fromm has not looked great at all. Luckily, they’ve got a strong running game (233.3 yards per game) that ranks 17th in the nation.
The defense certainly isn’t to blame for Georgia’s sluggish style over the last two games. They only allowed 20 points in the loss to South Carolina before shutting out Kentucky last week.
Florida Betting Form
QB Kyle Trask has been fantastic for the injured Feleipe Franks. After losing their starting QB, the Gators weren’t sure what they were getting from Trask, but he’s done everything and more. Saturday’s matchup against the Bulldogs will certainly be his toughest of the season. We have seen Trask play well in big spots before this season, and he did lead the Gators to a lot of points against LSU.
While there’s talk about Fromm being in a temporary funk, Florida has a very talented defense that could make him struggle for another week. There will likely be quite a few players on this team that’ll be in the NFL someday. Stopping the run will be important, considering Georgia is one of the best in the nation. As long as the Florida defense doesn’t allow the big play it’ll be fine.
The two teams have a common opponent in South Carolina over the last two games. Georgia lost to them while Florida beat them by 11 last week, albeit in a game that was close for the majority. While it’s not everything, it’s something we can look at. The point is that these two teams are evenly matched and we should expect the Gators to cover the massive 6.5-point spread.
7 Oregon Ducks (-4.5) at USC Trojans – Total: 62.5
Saturday, November 1, 2019 – 8:00 p.m. EST
The Oregon Ducks travel to face the USC Trojans in an intriguing Pac-12 showdown. Oregon had close wins in each of the last two weeks while USC also won each of its last two games. Our top betting pick is for the Trojans to cover the 4.5-point spread. Let’s discuss numbers that will mean something at the end of this game.
There’s no clear-cut favorite side in this matchup between Oregon and USC. Both public bets and all money wagered are right in the 50-50 range, perhaps leading us to believe that the masses aren’t hot on Oregon. It makes sense, considering each of its last two wins were by a combined six points.
Notre Dame Betting Form
Oregon has been cutting it close in each of its last two games and their luck may run out in Los Angeles. This defense, which has been fantastic for most of the season, has allowed 31 and 35 points in those last two games. It truly is bizarre to see this unit playing well all these weeks and then fall flat on their faces.
USC’s defense isn’t that great, allowing 429.5 total yards per game. Oregon has enough weapons on that side of the ball to take advantage of all facets of the game. QB Justin Herbert has been outstanding with 21 TD-1 INT and he shouldn’t have any problem carving up this defense.
USC Betting Form
USC has done a lot more damage in their passing game (296.1 yards per game) as opposed to on the ground (146.3 yards per game). Each of the last two QBs to face Oregon had big days, so look for QB Kedon Slovis to have another big game. Last week against Colorado marked his best game for USC with 406 yards and four touchdowns.
While Oregon’s secondary has been having problems, the USC receivers can really take advantage of this. And there are a lot of them. The Trojans top three receivers all have at least 40 catches and four touchdowns apiece.
In all actuality, the total going over might not be a bad play either. However, it seems more likely that Oregon slips up in this game. They just played a highly emotional game at Washington two weeks ago, had a barnburner with Washington State last week and now have to go into a hostile LA Coliseum. Look for USC to keep rolling and put up plenty of points to keep pace.