In this article, we’ll provide you with our top Monday Night Football pick between the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants. We study the betting lines, teams, and players to give you our recommended NFL betting pick to beat the New Jersey sportsbooks!
Dallas Cowboys (-7) at New York Giants – Total: 48
Monday, November 4, 2019 – 8:15 p.m. EST
Week 9 MNF Pick: Cowboys (-7)
The Dallas Cowboys bring their NFC-East leading 4-3 record to East Rutherford, NJ for a matchup with the New York Giants, who are 2-6. Dallas has won five straight over New York, including a 35-17 throttling in Week 1. Because of that, the Cowboys covering the seven-point spread is our top Week 9 MNF pick. Let’s dive into some more numbers for further evidence.
Week 9 MNF Betting Lines: Cowboys at Giants
It’s no surprise to see the Cowboys getting about 70 percent of public bets and all money wagered before we hit the weekend. Of course, people saw the matchup between these two teams in Week 1 and how hopeless the Giants looked after the first quarter. Granted, there’s a new QB under center for the Giants, and that could help. However, we just feel like the Cowboys are too much in this matchup.
Cowboys Betting Form
Not only have the Cowboys won five straight games over the Giants, but they’ve covered all those games as well. Dallas has also gone 8-1 ATS in its last nine games against NFC East opponents.
QB Dak Prescott threw for a mind-blowing 405 yards and four touchdowns in the Week-1 meeting against the Giants. He’ll have another chance to do some major damage, considering New York is allowing the eighth-most passing yards per game (264.4). Not to mention, Dak has three games of 330+ passing yards over the last four meetings against the Giants, with a total of 12 TD-0 INT in those games. Three of the last four QBs to face the Giants have thrown for 300+ yards. Kyler Murray was the only one that didn’t, although the game was played in heavy rain.
RB Ezekiel Elliott has back-to-back 100-yard games on the ground. Additionally in those last two games, he also has a total of 11 catches for 84 yards. The Cowboys are at their best when Zeke is catching balls out of the backfield. Expect that to be part of the game plan once again.
The Dallas defense has been solid this season, allowing the eighth-fewest total yards per game (324.9). This unit will be facing a QB making his first start on Monday Night Football so bringing pressure is certainly going to be part of the game plan.
Giants Betting Form
That QB making his first MNF start will be Daniel Jones, or “Danny Dimes.” Last week, Jones had his best game since his first NFL start, with 322 passing yards and four TDs against the Lions. However, that defense is allowing the most passing yards per game in the NFL this season.
In order to keep this game close, the Giants’ defense needs to step up and make plays. That’s a lot easier said than done, considering Dak’s history against this team. Just in case you were wondering, we don’t anticipate the Giants’ defense making a dent in this game.
The Giants have now lost four straight games and are now 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Week 9 MNF Pick: Cowboys (-7)
At the end of the day, the Cowboys have way too much fire-power in this matchup. The Dallas defense should be able to make Jones’ life a living hell behind the line of scrimmage, and that could lead to some favorable starting positions for Dak and Zeke. Look for the Cowboys to control this game from the start.