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NFL Betting Picks: Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons

Alan Walsh by Alan Walsh
September 15, 2019
in NFL
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Philadelphia Eagles Quarterback Carson Wentz stands in the pocket in the first half during the game between the Washington Redskins and Philadelphia Eagles on September 08, 2019 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA.
Will Carson Wentz and DeSean Jackson combine once again for an Eagles win?

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Philadelphia Eagles (-2) at Atlanta Falcons – O/U: 52.5

Time: Sunday 15th September 8:20 p.m. EST

Betting Pick: Over 52.5

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Both teams got off to slow starts in Week 1, but only the Eagles were able to catch themselves before falling on their faces. The Eagles overcame a 17-0 deficit and won by the score of 32-27 over the Redskins. Meanwhile, the Falcons fell behind 28-0 to the Vikings, and eventually lost 28-12, with their two touchdowns basically meaning nothing.

Odds Analysis: Eagles at Falcons

The line actually opened as a pick em’ but the Week-1 performances from each team persuaded bettors in opposite directions. Philly is getting 63 percent of public bets/62 percent of money wagered through Saturday night, moving the line to -1.5 or -2 at most sportsbooks. Additionally, the total went from 51 to 52.5 with 72 percent of public bets/74 percent of money wagered on the over.

Eagles Betting Form

Carson Wentz shook off an early slow start to rebound 313 yards and three touchdowns. That shaky open made sense, though, considering he didn’t play any snaps during the preseason. Once things got going, Wentz was able to connect with WR DeSean Jackson for eight catches, 154 yards, and two touchdowns.

The Eagles had a very balanced running attack with the three RBs each toting the rock. Miles Sanders led the way with 11 carries but only notched 25 yards in the process; Darren Sproles (nine carries for 47 yards) and Jordan Howard (six carries for 44 yards) were far more successful on the ground.

The running game could end up being a huge part of this game, considering the Vikings only needed to throw the ball 10 times last week. Running backs typically give the Falcons a ton of issues, so having this talented trio of backs certainly bodes well for them.

Falcons Betting Form

It took Matt Ryan and the Falcons’ offense a while to finally get some points on the board, but they did eventually in the fourth quarter. With Case Keenum posting 380 passing yards and three touchdowns, expect Atlanta’s offense to have that same type of success. Especially with more dangerous receiving options like Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley, this should be a great spectacle of moving the ball through the air. Not to mention, Matty Ice has been much better historically at home in Atlanta.

In terms of running the ball, that’s probably not to be an effective way to move up and down the field. Last week, despite leading for more than half the game, the Redskins had 13 carries for 28 yards. Against the Vikings, the Falcons’ running backs didn’t have much success either, toting the rock for 49 yards on 15 carries.

Betting Pick: Over 52.5

Given how both teams will be moving the ball through the air, it’s only right to take the over in this one. We should have a lot more faith in Matty Ice when he’s playing at home, and that’ll have Wentz leading the Eagles down the field to match him. This should be a fun game to wrap up Sunday’s slate, and the whole country will be able to see it.

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Alan Walsh

Alan Walsh

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