Week 11 of the NFL season gets kicked off with a bang as the Arizona Cardinals travel to face the Seattle Seahawks in an NFC West battle. Three teams, including the Cardinals and Seahawks, are all tied at 6-3 atop the division.
A win here would go a long way in deciding who wins the NFC West, considering the Los Angeles Rams are facing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Monday Night Football.
In this article, I will identify the best value in the player props betting market. As always, if you like one of these picks you can increase your bankroll for the game with
Table of contents
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks
Thursday, 8:20 pm | Watch: FOX/NFL Network
CenturyLink Field – Seattle, WA
Betting lines from Bet365
ARZ | Spread: +3 | Moneyline: +145 |
SEA | Spread: -3 | Moneyline: -165 |
Total | 57.5 |
Tyler Lockett, David Moore – Receptions + Receiving Yards
Lockett went bananas against the Cardinals in Week 7 for a career-high 15 catches, 200 yards and 3 TDs. There’s no way that he’d be able to match that massive output, he can still be some type of big numbers up. After all, attacking the Cardinals in the middle of the field (particularly from the slot) has worked best this season.
If you’re in need of a WR in Week 11, give David Moore a good, hard look
— Adam Koffler (@AdamKoffler) November 18, 2020
Tyler Lockett (knee) DNP Tuesday
Snap % last 4 gms
– 35% > 29% > 52% > 61% ?
Routes run last 4 gms
– 17 > 15 > 24 > 31 ?
SEA projected points TNF = 30
Moore available in > 93% of ESPN Fantasy Leagues
Be sure to check in on the injury status of Lockett, who has a sprained knee (day-to-day). If Lockett cannot go, we can probably slide David Moore into this same spot- and he’ll probably get an easier number to hit on the props.
Kyler Murray – Rushing Yards
By now, we have all seen the talent of Murray on full display. Remember what it was like to use Michael Vick and the Atlanta Falcons back in Madden 04? Well, this is almost as good.
Murray has rushed for 60+ yards in all but two of his nine games this season. He even hit the 100-yard mark for the first time this season against Miami back in Week 9.
Highest-graded rushing QBs through 10 games since 2006:
— PFF (@PFF) November 18, 2020
1. Michael Vick (2010)- 91.2
2. Kyler Murray (2020)- 90.7
3. Lamar Jackson (2019)- 84.9 pic.twitter.com/7CF489qUUw
Although the prop numbers aren’t out yet, Murray will likely land somewhere in the 60s.
Russell Wilson – Passing Yards
Wilson has been much more effective at home this season, posting a 17 TD-2 INT ratio (126.2 QB Rating) as opposed to an 11 TD-8 INT (98.3 QB Rating) on the road.
Most 30+ yard completions:
— PFF (@PFF) November 18, 2020
1. Russell Wilson – 19
2. Aaron Rodgers – 18
3. Kyler Murray – 16 pic.twitter.com/BqX3aDpcEN
The Cardinals are slightly worse than league-average against the pass. In fact, they allowed Wilson to pass for 388 yards in an overtime win. It will certainly be interesting to see how this all develops if Lockett does indeed miss the game.