NFL Player Props | Week 14 QB Prop Bets

2020/10/12


Week 14 of the NFL season has some big QB names in fantastic matchups against porous defenses. Each of these players, all from NFC teams in the thick of the playoff race, will certainly be relied upon, considering this is the opening week of the fantasy football playoffs for most contestants. These future Hall-of-Famers can give their owners a leg up on the competition.

In this article, I will identify the best value in the QB player prop betting market. The odds in this article are from William Hill Sports – Use the promo code TS500 for a 100% first-time sign-up deposit bonus of up to $500.



Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) at Detroit Lions

Sunday, 1:00 pm EST | Watch: FOX
Ford Field – Detroit, MI

Prop Bets Watch:

  • Over 314.5 passing yards (-115)
  • Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (+115)
  • Over 25.5 passing completions (-125)


Rodgers has passed for at least 280 yards in four of his last five starts against the Lions; this is excluding a Week 17 start in 2018, where he only attempted five passes in limited time. Nevertheless, Rodgers will take aim at a Detroit secondary that is allowing the sixth-most passing yards per game (261.7) in the NFL.

Luckily for Rodgers, he’s got Davante Adams on his side, catching nearly everything thrown his way. This is an absolute mismatch for Adams against the Lions, so that boosts Rodgers’ optimism even further.


NFL Player Props | Week 14 QB Prop Bets

Tom Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) vs. Minnesota Vikings

Sunday, 1:00 pm EST | Watch: FOX
Raymond James Stadium – Tampa, FL

Prop Bets Watch:

  • Over 302.5 passing yards (-115)
  • Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (+150)
  • Over 26.5 passing completions (-120)

Coming off the bye week, I certainly wouldn’t want a piece of a pissed off Tom Brady & Co. The Bucs schedule has four very winnable games down the stretch, starting with this week’s matchup against a Vikings team that has been in close battles with under .500 teams in each of the last three weeks. In fact, all three of those games were at home, so a trip on the road will have Minnesota all out of sorts.


The Vikings are allowing the third-most yards per deep pass attempt (14.4), and the Bucs offense loves that method of attack. Tampa Bay’s arsenal of offensive skill-position players should have a field day, with plenty of mismatches to take advantage of.

Brady ranks ninth in the NFL with a 3,300 passing yards and fourth in TD passes with 28.


Russell Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) vs. New York Jets

Sunday, 4:05 pm EST | Watch: CBS
CenturyLink Field – Seattle, WA

Prop Bets Watch:

  • Over 280.5 passing yards (-115)
  • Over 24.5 passing completions (-105)

Based on what we saw last week, it’s clear that the Jets aren’t trying to win any games. After all, they gift-wrapped a win to the Las Vegas Raiders, allowing them to score a seemingly-improbable TD in the closing seconds from midfield.

Nevertheless, Wilson desperately needs a good game on the stat sheet. He has failed to pass for 300+ yards in each of the last four games, even losing two of those in the process.


The Jets’ defense allows the second-most passing yards per game (291), so this should be a nice spot for Wilson to get back on the good foot. With the playoffs coming up right around the corner, the Seahawks certainly want to get the signal-caller back on track. At one point this season, it looked like Wilson was going to run away with the MVP award.

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