Betting on over or under a specific number of goals in a Premier League fixture is one of the most popular types of bet. You can bet on more or less than 1 to 5 goals with bookmakers.
Over the course of a full season, the total number of goals in all the 380 matches is in a range from about 2.4 to 2.6. That explains why the 2.5 goals market offer similar odds for the over and under,
The most common number of goals scored by any one team in a EPL fixture is one. Two goals is the second most popular return for a side, followed by no goals, then three, four goals, and so on.
Hence, statistics are useful in making your Premier League picks for a Parlay consisting of three over or under options from the matches this weekend.
This parlay pays +598:
West Ham vs Newcastle – Over 2.5 Goals (-130)
Man City vs Spurs – Over 3.5 Goals (+142)
Wolves vs Leicester – Under 2.5 Goals (-160)
Best EPL Bets For The Weekend
West Ham vs Newcastle United- 7.30am, Saturday
EPL Prop Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-130) at PointsBet
We are going the other way with this fixture on Saturday. The statistics suggest a relatively high-scoring meeting. There have been 41 goals in West Ham’s 11 home matches and 27 goals in 10 road trips for Newcastle.
Combining those numbers produces an average of 2.76 goals per match.
West Ham have scored 23 goals in 12 home fixtures while Newcastle have conceded 20 goals in 10 away matches. Hence, the key numbers stack up for a tally of at least three goals in this fixture. That is why Over 2.5 goals for this match is one of my top soccer picks for the weekend.
Manchester City vs Tottenham – 9am, Saturday
EPL Prop Pick: Over 3.5 Goals (+142) at PointsBet
The third selection in the Parlay is more speculative because we believe the Saturday fixture will be relatively high scoring. Manchester City have scored 34 goals in 12 home matches and even with only conceding six, the averages indicate more than three goals and a great price of +142 with Pointsbet.
Tottenham averages almost 1.5 goals per away match in the EPL this season. They have conceded nine goals in their last four league matches so are on a poor run defensively. Hence, it is the wrong time to be playing at City who could score over 3.5 goals without any contribution from Tottenham.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Leicester City – 11.30am, Sunday
EPL Prop Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (-160) at PointsBet
‘No brainer’ is a common phrase which means you don’t have to give much thought to making a decision. It is perfect for the inclusion of the Wolves and Leicester meeting for our over or under a certain number of goals Parlay. We cannot ignore the obvious which is selecting less than three goals in this fixture on Sunday which looks like producing a low-scoring encounter.
The main basis for the selection is the goals record when Wolves have played at home this season. Their 11 matches as hosts have produced just 17 goals for an average of 1.55 goals per match. Leicester have scored 15 goals in 10 road trips. That statistic does not prevent less than three goals at -160 with Pointsbet in this meeting as the banker selection in the Parlay.