Leicester host Liverpool on the back of losing 6-3 at Manchester City on Boxing Day. Liverpool’s home match against Leeds was canceled due to a number of Covid-19 cases in the Leeds squad. With City and Chelsea both winning on Sunday, Liverpool cannot afford to drop points in this fixture that is part of the mini-league of three teams at the top of the Premier League table. A defeat would leave them six points behind Manchester City, having played the same number of games.
Liverpool have won six of the last eight Premier League meetings, scoring 18 goals and conceding nine. Leicester won the latest league match, at home in February, and the other EPL game between the clubs since September 2017 was a draw. The teams recently drew 3-3 in the Carabao Cup, a fixture Liverpool won on penalties at Anfield after leveling the scores five minutes into regular time stoppages. Here are three Premier League picks for the Tuesday evening match at 20:00GMT.
EPL Picks Today – Leicester City vs Liverpool Odds, Picks, and Props
|Man City to win||-625|
|Leicester to win||+1300|
Leicester City vs Liverpool – Match Result
Liverpool to beat Leicester at (-278)
Liverpool are eight places and 19 points ahead of Leicester in the Premier League table, though they have played one more fixture. However, this meeting brings together a Liverpool squad that will finish third in the worst case scenario and a typical mid-table outfit. Leicester should not get involved in relegation issues but are off the pace in terms of qualifying for the Europa League. The obvious conclusion is an away win even though Liverpool have a number of Covid19 absentees.
Despite scoring three goals in 10 minutes to reduce Manchester City’s four goal half time lead, Leicester were ultimately well beaten and conceded six goals at the Etihad on Sunday. They have now let in 33 goals in 17 league fixtures and only three other teams have a worse goals against record and two of those are the bottom two teams in the current standings. However, only the top four teams have scored more goals but Liverpool should win this potential high-scoring fixture.
Leicester City vs Liverpool – Prop Bets
Over 3.5 goals at (+100)
Liverpool have scored 50 goals in 17 league fixtures, a tally only matched by Manchester City. There have been 37 goals in the nine away matches which the visitors to the King Power Stadium have played in the league this season. Liverpool have conceded on average a goal an away game.
The tally of goals in Leicester’s eight fixtures at home is 27 this season, 12 of those scored by the opposition. These statistics equate to an average of 3.76 goals per match so we cannot avoid betting on over 3.5 goals when Liverpool travel to Leicester for this fixture.
Jamie Vardy anytime scorer at (+180)
The race for the Golden Boot is a one-horse race because Mo Salah has scored 15 goals which is five ahead of the player in second place. That player is Diogo Jota, who also plays for Liverpool. Jamie Vardy is one goal behind the Liverpool midfielder with nine goals in 15 appearances.
Salah, Jota, or Vardy, or any combination of the three players are almost certainties to be on the score sheet in a match that should produce at least three goals. The value lies in backing Vardy to find the net because the odds on the other two players look too short in the anytime scorer market.