Manchester City host Leicester City on Boxing Day and we just can’t see anything but a home win. City have accumulated a massive 22 points more than their opponents but they have played two more matches. Even taking into account those additional fixtures, City’s better goal difference of 35 says all you need to know about the gulf in class which they can confirm in this match.
The home team have won the last two meetings in the Premier League to nil. Leicester did beat City in the Community Shield in August but that is a glorified friendly. The corresponding Premier League fixture two seasons ago produced a 5-2 win for Leicester. Manchester City are fully expected to record another win at the Etihad and here are our best EPL bets for this meeting.
EPL Picks Today – Man City vs Leicester City Odds, Picks, and Props
|Man City to win||-625|
|Leicester to win||+1300|
Manchester City vs Leicester City – Match Result
Manchester City to beat Leicester City -2 at (+140)
You won’t get rich backing the current league leaders at -556 in the match result market. The question then is the spread bet and certainly, Leicester are unlikely to avoid defeat by more than one goal. The figures are distorted somewhat by the 7-0 win against Leeds in their last home match. However, City average almost three goals in their nine home games in which they have conceded a miserly three goals. That equates to the best home goal difference in the Premier League.
Leicester are the perfect example of average. They have won and lost six of their 16 fixtures, scoring 27 goals and guess what, conceding 27 goals. They have won nine points in eight road trips and they won’t have any more after playing City. We are torn on the spread but letting the head rule the heart by giving Leicester a two goal start, despite City beating Leeds by seven.
Manchester City vs Leicester City – Game And Player Props
Phil Foden assist at (+210)
Phil Foden was one of the best players of the tournament in the 2017 FIFA U-17 World Cup which England won. He was born in Stockport which is about 10 miles from Manchester and was a City fan as a boy and probably still is as a man. He is rare in being a locally born Premier League player and has been called the Stockport Messi. He could be that talented and in any case, we like him for an assist against Leicester and he looks an almost certain starter.
Manchester City to win both halves at (+125)
Manchester City at times seem like a team that can score goals at will. They can build up quick leads or start scoring goals in numbers in the second half. We will give Leicester some credit and anticipate they won’t capitulate before the break. The home team will wear them down eventually but most of their goals can be scored in the second half.
Leicester are not fancied to trouble the scorers so our third pick for this match is Manchester City to win both halves. Leicester have let in almost two goals on average in each road trip and that figure won’t get lower on Sunday. However, we trust the Foxes to reach half-time still in the game before the other City take over after the interval and score more goals.