NFL Player Props – Quarterback Picks for Week 17

Here in Week 17 of the NFL season, the chance of going to the playoffs all comes down to this. For others, it’s all about improving seeding and putting themselves into better matchup for the first round of the playoffs.

In this article, I will identify the best value in the player-prop betting market from these QB matchups. The odds in this article are from William Hill Sports – Use the promo code TS500 for a 100% first-time sign-up deposit bonus of up to $500.

NFL Player Props – Quarterback Picks for Week 17 - Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) at Cincinnati Bengals

Sunday, 1:00 pm EST | Watch: CBS
Paul Brown Stadium – Cincinnati, OH

Prop Bets Watch:

  • Over 1.5 TD Passes (+130)
  • Over 196.5 Passing Yards (-115)
  • Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

A win on Sunday puts the Ravens back into the postseason, and it should be attainable against a 4-10-1 Bengals team. Baltimore comes into this game as winners of four straight, scoring an average of 37 points in those victories.

Jackson has really turned around his season in that same span, passing for multiple TDs and rushing for 80+ yards in three of the last four games. This is the same dual-threat guy that won the NFL MVP last season; if the Ravens have any shot of making a deep run, Jackson will have to be the catalyst.

This matchup against the Bengals has been highly profitable for Jackson, getting him 65+ rushing yards in three of the last four meetings. In two of those games, he hit totals of 119 and 152 on the ground.

Deshaun Watson (Houston Texans) vs. Tennessee Titans

Sunday, 1:00 pm EST | Watch: CBS
NRG Stadium – Houston, TX

Prop Bets Watch:

  • no odds available yet

This Texans-Titans matchup should be one of the more entertaining ones on the slate, once again. All the way back in Week 6, Tennessee made a miraculous comeback at home against Houston, eventually winning the game in overtime. The season-ending game will be essentially be the Texans’ smaller version of the playoffs.

The Titans defense has been among the worst in the NFL this season- particularly against the pass. In fact, Tennessee is allowing the fifth-most passing yards per game (271.9) and six different QBs have tossed for at least 295 yards against this defense.

Watson has thrown for 300+ yards in five of his last six games. In addition, over that span, he has a remarkable 12 TD-1 INT ratio.

NFL Player Props – Quarterback Picks for Week 17

Tom Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) vs. Atlanta Falcons

Sunday, 1:00 pm EST | Watch: FOX
Raymond James Stadium – Tampa, FL

Prop Bets Watch:

  • Over 2.5 TD Passes (+130)
  • Over 304.5 Passing Yards (-115)
  • Over 25.5 Passing Completions (-115)

Brady and the Bucs just saw this same Falcons team back in Week 15 and won a close game that was highlighted by a scintillating second-half comeback. Because of that familiarity with Atlanta, I believe that Brady will be ready for these guys at the opening whistle- and not the beginning of the second half like last time.

Last week, Brady was simply magnificent in a win against the Detroit Lions, going 22-for-27 with 348 passing yards and four TDs… in only one half!

The Falcons have allowed the second-most passing yards per game (287.1) and seven different QBs have passed for 300+ yards against them this season. Brady had the second-most yards (390) against them in the Week 15 matchup.

Al Walsh
Al Walsh Chief Sports Writer