This week’s edition of Monday Night Football features an AFC North rivalry matchup between the Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers. The Browns have been officially eliminated while the Steelers still have an outside chance to get in. This heated rivalry is about to get a little spicier by the time tonight is over.
Here, I will provide the top Monday Night Football picks, odds, and lines for the Browns at Steelers.
Monday Night Football Picks – Browns at Steelers
A lot has been made about the fact that this could be the last game ever at Heinz Field for Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger. Big Ben is getting up there in age, and the two other main guys from his draft class (Eli Manning, Philip Rivers) are both out of the NFL already.
The Browns won two of three games against the Steelers last season, including a 48-37 drubbing at Heinz Field in the Divisional Round. Pittsburgh came back with a 15-10 win in Cleveland this season, and that was with the Browns as huge favorites. The line opened with the Browns as 2.5-point favorites before moving up to -3.5 and then back down here to +3. It has been a wild ride for the spread, but a lot of it is people thinking the Steelers will be motivated for Big Ben’s last game. I just don’t think he’s that good anymore.
Under 43 Points (-110)
As I just mentioned, I don’t think Roethlisberger is a good quarterback – and he’s really holding the Steelers back in the process. We have seen this team put up some lousy offensive performances over the past few games. The last time Pittsburgh looked good on offense was the second half of the Thursday night game against the Minnesota Vikings, basically when the guys in purple were playing prevent defense.
I would look for the Browns to run the football early and often with Nick Chubb. Once that is working, Baker Mayfield can start getting the play-action pass going to some of his wide receivers and tight ends. I do believe Cleveland runs off enough of the clock, though, in order to keep this a low-scoring game.
Nick Chubb – First TD Scorer (+390)
I don’t think there will be many touchdowns in this game, so taking Chubb as the first one to score has its own unique value. If we’re only going to get 1-3 touchdowns in this game, we don’t have to compete with a lot of other players for that prize.
In my opinion, the Browns should have a good handle on this game against the Steelers. In fact, I’m not sure how many touchdowns the Steelers will score at all. Chubb has scored touchdowns in each of his last two games.