If fans thought they were in for a rough Thursday Night Football game last week, this version might take the cake. When the Denver Broncos and New York Jets get together to kick off the Week 4 schedule, both teams will be looking to get their first win of the season.
The Broncos are listed as one-point favorites on the road, even with QB Brett Rypien making his first NFL starts. What’s even more intriguing is the brutal set of circumstances that Denver has been thrust into. After playing last week’s game at home, the Broncos now have to fly all the way East on only three full days of rest.
In this article, I’ll identify the best NFL value bets on player props in Thursday’s game between the Broncos and Jets. The odds in this article are from both DraftKings and PointsBet.
Denver Broncos at New York Jets
Thursday, October 1, 2020 | Watch: NFL Network & FOX
MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford, NJ
Broncos – Under 9.5 Points in First Half (+106) | DraftKings
As I mentioned in the opening, the Broncos will head to MetLife Stadium with only three full days of rest. In fact, their last game was just played in the high altitude of Denver. Because of that, it’ll probably be tough for the road team to get going early.
Sure, the Broncos are facing the hapless Jets in this matchup, but the travel itinerary is just going to be too much to handle in this scenario. Add in the fact that Denver will be working with a brand new QB, and it’s going to be a total disaster.
Last week against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Broncos were only able to muster a total of 10 points. It feels like we’re going to see more of the same on Thursday night.
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Frank Gore – Score TD (+225) | DraftKings
I am one of the few people that believe the Jets are actually going to make this a competitive game on Thursday, and maybe even win – I did buy up a half-point early on yesterday for a Jets +3 line in this game. Wish me luck.
With that lineage of thinking, this is a perfect spot for Jets RB Frank Gore to find his way into paydirt. After all, Gore has always been admired by his head coach, Adam Gase.
It is quite surprising to see Gore with the third best odds of any Jets player to score a TD; I feel like we’re getting an absolute steal here. Since Le’Veon Bell went down with an injury, Gore has 36 carries in those two games. Of course, we are limiting ourselves only to the ground game considering he has only three targets in that same span.
Noah Fant – Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-115) | PointsBet
There’s not a lot that I’m loving from the Broncos’ side of things, but there’s a very old adage that we can lean on – inexperienced QBs looking for their TEs early and often. Fant has been a breath of fresh air for his fantasy owners this season, hauling in 14 receptions on 21 targets for 184 yards and 2 TDs.
Meanwhile, New York has allowed a decent amount of production to TEs. In the three games this season, TEs have 13 catches on 16 targets for 131 yards and 3 TDs. The majority of that production came from San Francisco 49ers TE Jordan Reed, who notched seven catches on eight targets for 50 yards and 2 TDs; he is the most comparable player to Fant that the Jets have faced this season.
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